Part V, chapters 23–28
Measurements
Numbers instead of vibes, from public data and our own runs, each with its dataset and how it was collected.
Part V is numbers instead of impressions: what agent work costs, how benchmarks are scored, and how often the tools change. Each chapter says how its figures were collected, ships the dataset behind them, and is plain about what it did not measure.
Begin with SWE-bench explained, which shows how a resolve rate is produced, what the Verified subset changed, and what five papers found about harness effects, lucky passes, contamination and realistic prompts. SWE-bench Verified task by task then reads the leaderboard's own per-task records for 11 models on one harness: how task size predicted failure, what a cap on model calls keeps and saves, and what a resolved task cost. Flaky tests works out what a green rerun tells an agent; a test that fails 1 percent of the time needs 299 runs to show itself. Release cadence counts third-quarter 2026 releases from npm publish times: 79 for Claude Code, 38 for Codex CLI and 15 for Gemini CLI.
What one coding task costs is a method that leaves the measuring to you: a calculator that reproduces the vendors' own worked examples and a dataset of published numbers. Time-to-green began the same way and now has its first results: ten small tasks run three times each with two Claude Code models on 30 October 2026, all 60 attempts green, with a row per attempt, the token ledger and redacted transcripts published beside it. The release-cadence chapter also counts how many releases have shipped since a chapter's version stamp, which is the quickest way to judge how far one has aged.
- 23
SWE-bench explained: what a resolve rate measures and what it misses
How a SWE-bench score is produced, what Verified changed, what five papers found it misses, and how big a gap between two scores is real, from per-task records.
- 24
What one coding task costs: tokens, dollars, minutes, three ways
A method for costing an agent task across an interactive session, a headless run, and a cheaper model, with a price calculator and a dataset of published numbers.
- 25
Coding agent time-to-green: ten small tasks, 60 Claude Code runs
Ten small coding tasks run three times each with two Claude Code models: 60 of 60 green, medians 32.4 s and 25.6 s, tokens, estimated cost, method, limits.
- 26
Flaky tests: what a green rerun tells an agent
A test failing 1% of the time needs 299 runs to reveal itself, and its rerun is green 99% of the time. The arithmetic, a dataset, and what it means for agent loops.
- 27
How often Claude Code, Codex and Gemini CLI update, measured
Q3 2026 release counts from npm timestamps for Claude Code, Codex and Gemini CLI, two release promises checked against them, and the settings that pin a version.
- 28
SWE-bench Verified task by task: 11 models, one harness, measured
The leaderboard's own per-task records for 11 models on one harness: how task size predicted failure, what a call cap keeps and saves, and what a resolve cost.